3 Simple Soccer Betting Tips for Beginners

So you just started betting on soccer and you are wondering how others make money with this sport. The truth is it in’t easy.  If you want to be a professional bettor, I highly recommend to read at least one of the books I had listed in Best Sport Betting Books . However, if you are just looking for some quick tips to increase your chance of winning,  these are the three simple soccer betting tips that I often use. They will come in handy when you are in doubt.

1. Simple Soccer Betting Tip #1 – The Law of Averaging (Betting to Win in A Long Run)

Simple Soccer Betting Tips - Averaging

Betting is a game of average. You can be a really good predictor with an excellent analytical skill, but if you approach betting as a gambler, chances are you will loose all of your stake before you even know it. Professional gamblers treat betting as an investment. They only bet on matches with fair odds to ensure that in a LONG RUN, they will become profitable.

I read multiple explanations about fair odds, but they are just fuzzy to me. I prefer seeing fair odds as a 1:1 risk and reward. I trade stocks as a hobby and so risk and reward make more sense to me. Since the topic to this post is to discuss three SIMPLE tips to revolutionize your soccer predictions, I rather keep things simple.

So, Simple Tip #1: Only bet on matches with a 1:1 risk to reward ratio. What that means is that if you spend $10 on a single bet, you should be able to make $10 if you win (not $9, $10). This way, even if you are an average bettor like myself with a winning rate of 60%, you can still make a profit in a long run.

2. Simple Soccer Betting Tip #2 – When in Doubt, Bet on Home Favorite

This is one of the simplest soccer betting tips. Imagine you are looking at an upcoming match between Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur. Manchester United is the home team. You comb through countless of statistics and still you can’t decide which team to put your hard-earned money for. This is the perfect scenario to use the second tip – when in doubt, bet on home favorite. According to  Prof. Leighton Vaughan Williams, author of Betting to Win, betting on home favorite yields an average of 60% winning rate over time. What that means is that you can will roughly 6 out of 10 matches betting on home favorite.

I personally have tried this tip in my betting and can confirm that it actually works.

3. Tip #3 – Look for Odds Shortening Matches.

What is odds shortening? According to Gruss Software, “Odds shortening refers to the chance of something happening becoming more likely. In betting terms, this means the reduction of odds, e.g: from 10/1 down to 5/1 or a similar reduction.”

For example: There is a match between Manchester United vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C on Saturday.

  • On Friday: you check out the odds from your bookmaker and notice that Manchester United has a 10/1 betting odd if you pick Manchester United (-0.5) to WIN.
  • On Saturday: you go back to your bookmaker site and notice that the previous odd has changed. The same 10/1 odd is now for Man United (-1.0) to WIN. Or sometimes, you will see a reduction from 10/1 to 8/1, etc…

This usually signals that the chance of Manchester United to win has increased. In this case, it is generally safe to pick Manchester United (-1.0) to WIN.

This technique requires you to constantly monitor the market to find odds shortening matches. An easier way to go about this is to use our odds shortening table.

Today Soccer Predictions 2/29/2020

A full list of today soccer predictions 2/29/2020 is now available at Soccer Bet Buddy home page. Kèo típ cho các trận đấu vào ngày 29/2/2020 đã post trên trang nhà Soccer Bet Buddy.

SOCCER FACTS

Brighton have drawn their last 3 home matches (Premier League).

Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 3 goals in their last 7 home matches (Bundesliga).

TODAY SOCCER PREDICTIONS 2/29/2020
Eibar7:00LevanteEibar (0.0)
Brighton & Hove Albion7:30Crystal PalaceBrighton & Hove Albion (0.0)
Lazio9:00BolognaBologna (+1.0)
Augsburg9:30Borussia M’GladbachUnder 3.0
Borussia Dortmund9:30FreiburgBorussia Dortmund (-1.5)
SOCCER TOP HIGHLIGHTS
PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR 2/27/2020
10 WINS
5 LOSSES
0 DRAW
67% WINNING RATE

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Today Soccer Predictions 2/27/2020

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SOCCER FACTS

Wolves have won 11 of their last 13 matches (Europa League).

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Copenhagen‘s last 8 games (Europa League).

TODAY SOCCER PREDICTIONS 2/27/2020
Basel12:55APOEL NicosiaOver 2.5
Espanyol12:55Wolverhampton WanderersOver 2.5
FC Porto12:55Bayer LeverkusenOver 3.0
Gent12:55RomaDRAW
Istanbul Basaksehir12:55Sporting CPIstanbul Basaksehir (0.0)
SOCCER TOP HIGHLIGHTS
PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR 2/23/2020
8 WINS
5 LOSSES
2 DRAW
62% WINNING RATE

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Today Soccer Predictions 2/6/2020

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SOCCER FACTS

Reims have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches against Nice in all competitions.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Montpellier‘s last 8 games (Ligue 1).

TODAY SOCCER PREDICTIONS 2/6/2020
Brest13:00BordeauxBrest (0.0)
Lyon13:00AmiensAmiens (+1.0)
Montpellier13:00MetzMontpellier (-0.5)
Nimes13:00DijonUnder 2.5
Reims13:00NiceOver 2.0
SOCCER TOP HIGHLIGHTS
PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR 2/1/2020
15 WINS
10 LOSSES
2 DRAW
60% WINNING RATE

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Best Sports Betting Books According to Professional Gamblers

I wish I read at least one of the best sports betting books ten years ago. That was when I placed my first bet with a friend on an English Premier League match. The  bet was for a pack of Bud Light.

Nowadays, I occasionally place a bet on a Sunday match with my close friends or colleagues from work. We are not gamblers but rather sport enthusiasts. We like to place a small bet to increase excitement during a game.

Don’t be like me,  if you consider yourself a serious bettor, below is a list of the best sports betting books for the professionals.

1. Sharp Sports Betting by Stanford Wong (2001-09-06) Paperback – 1783

Best Sports Betting Books
Sharp Sports Betting is a nice overview of sports gambling with a heavy emphasis on American football. It is one of the older books in this list but it is still valuable for today bettors. There is a recurring emphasis on mathematics, which any solid gambling book should have.

2. The Logic Of Sports Betting Paperback – May 17, 2019

Best Sports Betting Books

The Logic of Sports Betting teaches concepts of how to win. In addition to the process, this book teaches about the markets.  The authors explain how the business actually works from the bookmaker’s and bettor’s point of view.

3. Weighing the Odds in Sports Betting Paperback – July 25, 2007

Best Sports Betting Books

Weighing the Odds in Sports Betting is for people who are good with math and numbers The reading is full of good  tips for converting percentage into money lines and vise verse. It contains some very useful knowledge on the financial aspects of sports betting.

4. Fixed Odds Sports Betting: Statistical Forecasting and Risk Management Paperback – December 1, 2003


Best Sports Betting Books

Fixed Odds Sports Betting helps you identify ‘value’ bets. It does not show you a particular system to follow but rather encourage you to find a system that works for you. It is definitely a must have book for any serious bettors out there.

5. The Man With the $100,000 Breasts And Other Gambling Stories Hardcover – June 1, 1999

Best Sports Betting Books

This book was ranked #2 on the Wall Street Journal’s list of the 5 best books on gambling.

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Today Soccer Predictions 1/12/2020

A full list of today soccer predictions 1/12/2020 is now available at Soccer Bet Buddy home page. Kèo típ cho các trận đấu vào ngày 12/1/2020 đã post trên trang nhà Soccer Bet Buddy.

SOCCER FACTS

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 13 of Aston Villa‘s last 16 games (Premier League).

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Nantes‘s last 6 away games (Ligue 1).

TODAY SOCCER PREDICTIONS 1/12/2020
Udinese6:30SassuoloUdinese (-0.5)
AFC Bournemouth9:00WatfordUnder 1.5 (First Half)
Saint-Etienne9:00NantesUnder 1.5 (First Half)
Fiorentina9:00SPALFiorentina (-0.5)
Sampdoria9:00BresciaSampdoria (-0.5)
SOCCER TOP HIGHLIGHTS
PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR 1/11/2020
10 WINS
5 LOSSES
1 DRAW
67% WINNING RATE

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Today Soccer Predictions 1/11/2020

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SOCCER FACTS

Liverpool are undefeated in their last 37 matches (Premier League).

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 13 of Aston Villa‘s last 16 games (Premier League).

TODAY SOCCER PREDICTIONS 1/11/2020
Crystal Palace7:30ArsenalOver 2.5
Cagliari9:00MilanOver 2.5
Chelsea10:00BurnleyChelsea (-1.0)
Everton10:00Brighton & Hove AlbionOver 2.5
Leicester City10:00SouthamptonOver 2.5
SOCCER TOP HIGHLIGHTS
PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR 1/5/2020
19 WINS
11 LOSSES
2 DRAW
63% WINNING RATE

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Today Soccer Predictions 1/5/2020

A full list of today soccer predictions 1/5/2020 is now available at Soccer Bet Buddy home page. Kèo típ cho các trận đấu vào ngày 5/1/2020 đã post trên trang nhà Soccer Bet Buddy.

SOCCER FACTS

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Lazio‘s last 11 games (Serie A).

Liverpool are undefeated in their last 23 home matches against Everton in all competitions.

 

TODAY SOCCER PREDICTIONS 1/5/2020
Granada6:00MallorcaUnder 2.5
Brescia6:30LazioLazio (-0.5)
Real Sociedad8:00VillarrealOver 2.5
FC Bastia-Borgo8:15Saint-EtienneSaint-Etienne (-0.5)
Lorient8:15BrestLorient (-0.5)
SOCCER TOP HIGHLIGHTS - 1/4/2020
PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR DECEMBER 2019
89 WINS
65 LOSSES
18 DRAW
58% WINNING RATE

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Today Soccer Predictions 12/26/2019

A full list of today soccer predictions 12/26/2019 is now available at Soccer Bet Buddy home page. Kèo típ cho các trận đấu vào ngày 26/12/2019 đã post trên trang nhà Soccer Bet Buddy.

SOCCER FACTS

Liverpool are undefeated in their last 34 matches (Premier League).

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Aston Villa‘s last 13 games (Premier League).

TODAY SOCCER PREDICTIONS 12/26/2019
Tottenham Hotspur7:30Brighton & Hove AlbionTottenham Hotspur (-0.5)
AFC Bournemouth10:00ArsenalArsenal (-0.5)
Aston Villa10:00Norwich CityOver 2.5
Chelsea10:00SouthamptonChelsea (-1.0)
Crystal Palace10:00West Ham UnitedUnder 2.5
TOP HIGHLIGHTS
PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR 12/18/2019
4 WINS
4 LOSSES
4 DRAW
50% WINNING RATE

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Today Soccer Predictions 12/15/2019

A full list of today soccer predictions 12/15/2019 is now available at Soccer Bet Buddy home page. Kèo típ cho các trận đấu vào ngày 15/12/2019 đã post trên trang nhà Soccer Bet Buddy.

TODAY PREMIUM PICK

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SOCCER FACTS

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Man City‘s last 7 games (Premier League).

Arsenal have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 11 matches against Man City in all competitions.

TODAY SOCCER PREDICTIONS 12/15/2019
Getafe6:00Real ValladolidGetafe (-0.5)
Hellas Verona6:30TorinoUnder 25
Celta Vigo8:00MallorcaDRAW
Manchester United9:00EvertonOver 10.5 Corners
Wolverhampton Wanderers9:00Tottenham HotspurOver 2.5
TOP HIGHLIGHTS
PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR 12/14/2019
12 WINS
10 LOSSES
2 DRAW
55% WINNING RATE

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