Betting on MLB games can indeed be challenging due to the frequency of games and the nuances of the sport. Here are some tips and key statistics to consider:
Key Statistics:
1. Pitcher Matchups:
- Starting Pitcher: Analyze the starting pitchers for each game. Their ERA (Earned Run Average), WHIP (Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched), and recent performance are crucial.
- Bullpen: Look at the bullpen stats, especially if the starting pitcher is not known for going deep into games.
2. Team Offense:
- Batting Average (BA): Indicates how well the team hits.
- On-Base Percentage (OBP): Shows how often players get on base.
- Slugging Percentage (SLG): Reflects the team’s power-hitting ability.
- OPS (On-base Plus Slugging): Combines OBP and SLG for a comprehensive offensive metric.
3. Recent Performance:
- Last 10 Games: Teams’ performance in the last 10 games can indicate current form.
- Home/Away Splits: Some teams perform better at home than on the road and vice versa.
4. Head-to-Head Matchups: Historical performance between the two teams can provide insights, though it’s not always a predictor of future results.
5. Lineup and Injuries:
- Daily Lineup: Check which key players are starting or resting.
- Injuries: Be aware of injuries to key players, especially pitchers and power hitters.
Pitcher Rotations:
- Rotational Depth: Teams with deeper rotations may have an advantage over a series.
- Pitcher Rest Days: Pay attention to the number of rest days a pitcher has had. More rest generally leads to better performance.
Betting Strategies:
- Avoid Betting on Every Game: Be selective and choose games where you have a clear advantage.
- Look for Value Bets: Sometimes the underdog might have better value based on starting pitchers or recent form.
- Consider the Over/Under: Betting on the total runs scored can sometimes be easier to predict than the winner.
- In-Game Betting: Watch the game and bet live. You can often get a better sense of the game’s flow and how teams are performing.
Series Betting on MLB:
Series betting is hard. Home favorite can win the first game but can also loose the next two games. Click here to learn more why MLB games are scheduled to play in a series of three games. Statistical analysis becomes less reliable in second and third game. It’s best to avoid betting on the second and third game if you can. But if you must, below are the two tips to win more bets in series betting on MLB.
- Momentum: If a team wins the first game convincingly, they may carry momentum into the next game.
- Adjustments: Teams often make adjustments after a loss. Pay attention to managerial strategies and changes in the lineup.
By focusing on these factors and continuously analyzing data, you can improve your chances of making successful bets on MLB games. If you like this article, please subscribe, like and share to support us. You can also follow our Facebook page for daily parlay tips. Soccerbetbuddy provides FREE betting tips in soccer, football and baseball. Let’s win more bet together!
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